Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 65.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Goias had a probability of 13.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.64%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
-0.58) 
0.37) 
