Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
-0.28) 
0.5) 
