SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 48.66%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Internacional had a probability of 24.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Internacional win it was 0-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Internacional |
48.66% ( -0.05) | 27.32% ( 0.06) | 24.02% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 44.37% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.03% ( -0.22) | 59.97% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.78% ( -0.16) | 80.21% ( 0.16) |
| Sao Paulo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.21% ( -0.12) | 24.79% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.63% ( -0.17) | 59.36% ( 0.16) |
| Internacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.99% ( -0.14) | 41.01% ( 0.13) |
