SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 63.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 15.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Internacional | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
63.98% ( -0.42) | 20.83% ( 0.17) | 15.2% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 49.22% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.75% ( -0.24) | 46.25% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.46% ( -0.23) | 68.55% ( 0.23) |
| Internacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.24% ( -0.2) | 13.76% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.96% ( -0.4) | 41.05% ( 0.4) |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.07% ( 0.19) | 42.94% ( -0.19) |
