SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Coritiba | Draw | Fortaleza |
39.58% ( -0.23) | 28.89% ( 0.03) | 31.52% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 44.63% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.13% ( -0.07) | 61.86% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.36% ( -0.05) | 81.64% ( 0.05) |
| Coritiba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.51% ( -0.17) | 30.48% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.3% ( -0.2) | 66.7% ( 0.2) |
| Fortaleza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.2% ( 0.1) | 35.8% ( -0.1) |
