Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Third Round clash between Cerro Porteno and Fortaleza.
Form, Standings, Stats
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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Porteno would win this match.
| Result |
| Cerro Porteno | Draw | Fortaleza |
39.1% ( 1.9) | 28.23% ( 0.02) | 32.67% ( -1.92) |
| Both teams to score 46.75% ( -0.35) |
| 40.63% ( -0.3) | 59.37% ( 0.29) |
| 20.24% ( -0.23) | 79.76% ( 0.23) |
| 70.46% ( 0.99) | 29.53% ( -1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.44% ( 1.19) | 65.56% ( -1.2) |
| 66.35% ( -1.46) | 33.65% ( 1.45) |
