SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventude win with a probability of 51.43%. A win for Coritiba had a probability of 24.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventude win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Coritiba win was 0-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Juventude | Draw | Coritiba |
51.43% ( -0.05) | 24.11% ( 0.03) | 24.46% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.09% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.54% ( -0.1) | 47.45% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.33% ( -0.09) | 69.66% ( 0.09) |
| Juventude Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.55% ( -0.05) | 18.45% ( 0.05) |
