SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Juventude had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Juventude win was 1-0 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Juventude | Draw | Sao Paulo |
33.02% ( 0.13) | 27.77% ( -0.02) | 39.21% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 48.17% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.36% ( 0.09) | 57.64% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.59% ( 0.07) | 78.41% ( -0.07) |
| Juventude Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.49% ( 0.14) | 32.51% ( -0.14) |
