SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Goias win with a probability of 48.17%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Universitario had a probability of 24.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Goias win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Universitario win it was 0-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Goias in this match.
| Result | ||
| Goias | Draw | Universitario |
48.17% ( 0.03) | 26.9% ( -0.01) | 24.94% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 46.31% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.1% ( 0.02) | 57.9% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.39% ( 0.02) | 78.61% ( -0.02) |
| Goias Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.89% ( 0.02) | 24.11% ( -0.02) |
