Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for Goias had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Goias win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.11) 
