SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 64.41%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Goias had a probability of 13.65%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.35%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Goias |
64.41% ( -0.06) | 21.94% ( 0.04) | 13.65% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 42.22% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.35% ( -0.1) | 53.65% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.85% ( -0.09) | 75.14% ( 0.09) |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.95% ( -0.05) | 16.05% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.59% ( -0.1) | 45.41% ( 0.11) |
| Goias Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.29% ( -0.02) | 49.71% ( 0.03) |
