SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 49.29%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Botafogo |
49.29% ( 0.18) | 24.57% ( -0.04) | 26.14% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 54.26% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.98% ( 0.07) | 48.02% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.81% ( 0.06) | 70.19% ( -0.05) |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.48% ( 0.1) | 19.52% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.59% ( 0.16) | 51.42% ( -0.15) |
| Botafogo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.42% ( -0.07) | 32.58% ( 0.08) |
