SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Corinthians | Draw | Fluminense |
44.57% ( -0.13) | 26.75% ( 0.14) | 28.68% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.44% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.79% ( -0.55) | 55.21% ( 0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.55% ( -0.46) | 76.45% ( 0.45) |
| Corinthians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.35% ( -0.31) | 24.65% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.83% ( -0.43) | 59.17% ( 0.43) |
| Fluminense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.61% ( -0.3) | 34.39% ( 0.3) |
