SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cruzeiro | Draw | Fluminense |
43.33% ( -0.16) | 26.02% ( -0.03) | 30.64% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 52.69% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.5% ( 0.2) | 51.5% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.69% ( 0.17) | 73.3% ( -0.17) |
| Cruzeiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.38% ( 0.01) | 23.62% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.29% ( 0.01) | 57.71% ( -0.01) |
| Fluminense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.98% ( 0.23) | 31.02% ( -0.23) |
