SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 66.65%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 13.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.02%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Fluminense in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fluminense | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
66.65% ( 0.1) | 19.94% ( -0.05) | 13.41% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 47.48% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.84% ( 0.11) | 46.16% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.55% ( 0.11) | 68.45% ( -0.11) |
| Fluminense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.06% ( 0.06) | 12.94% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.61% ( 0.13) | 39.4% ( -0.13) |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.54% | 45.47% |
