SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 58.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 17.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Corinthians | Draw | Independiente del Valle |
58.68% ( 1.4) | 23.48% ( -0.28) | 17.85% ( -1.12) |
| Both teams to score 46.68% ( -1.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.42% ( -0.47) | 52.58% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.77% ( -0.4) | 74.23% ( 0.4) |
| Corinthians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.34% ( 0.34) | 17.66% ( -0.34) |
