SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Botafogo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Botafogo | Draw | Fluminense |
42.1% ( -0.01) | 26.88% ( 0.01) | 31.02% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.19% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.21% ( -0.02) | 54.79% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.9% ( -0.02) | 76.1% ( 0.02) |
| Botafogo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.29% ( -0.02) | 25.71% ( 0.02) |
