SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Internacional | 17 | 8 | 29 |
| 4 | Corinthians | 17 | 2 | 29 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 17 | 7 | 28 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Cuiaba | 17 | -5 | 19 |
| 16 | Coritiba | 17 | -7 | 19 |
| 17 | America Mineiro | 17 | -9 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 60.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 15.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.42%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Corinthians | Draw | Coritiba |
60.79% ( -0.16) | 23.22% ( 0.11) | 15.98% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 43.89% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.62% ( -0.36) | 54.37% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.25% ( -0.3) | 75.75% ( 0.29) |
| Corinthians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.45% ( -0.19) | 17.55% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.91% ( -0.33) | 48.08% ( 0.32) |
| Coritiba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.23% ( -0.16) | 46.76% ( 0.15) |
