MX23RW : Saturday, November 5 20:41:57
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Saturday, November 5
Jul 17, 2022 at 1am UK at Castelao
Ceara
3 - 1
Corinthians
Pacheco (28'), Vinicius (33'), Cleber (76')
Cleber (38')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Guedes (4')
Giovane (71')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ceara 1-0 Fortaleza
Thursday, July 14 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Santos 1-0 Corinthians
Thursday, July 14 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

We said: Ceara 0-2 Corinthians

Ceara have been showcasing their qualities as of late with good defensive performances that have led to them grinding out results on a consistent basis. Despite that, they are facing one of the strongest teams in the Brasileiro, and the Corinthians are likely going to be too strong for their opponents here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 16.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.5%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.

Result
CearaDrawCorinthians
58.11% (0.082000000000001 0.08) 25.02% (0.0010000000000012 0) 16.87% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)
Both teams to score 40.95% (-0.132 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.69% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)59.31% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.29% (-0.073 -0.07)79.71% (0.075999999999993 0.08)
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.57% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)20.43% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.12% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)52.88% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.46% (-0.16 -0.16)48.54% (0.164 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.38% (-0.117 -0.12)83.62% (0.12 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Ceara 58.1%
    Corinthians 16.87%
    Draw 25.01%
CearaDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 15.74% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 12.5% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.62% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.79% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.63% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.73% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 58.1%
1-1 @ 11.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.92% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 25.01%
0-1 @ 7.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.11% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.59% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.99% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 16.87%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Ceara 1-0 Fortaleza
Thursday, July 14 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Ceara
Saturday, July 9 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Ceara 3-0 The Strongest
Wednesday, July 6 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Ceara 1-1 Internacional
Saturday, July 2 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: The Strongest 1-2 Ceara
Wednesday, June 29 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Ceara 1-1 Atletico GO
Sunday, June 26 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Santos 1-0 Corinthians
Thursday, July 14 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Corinthians 1-0 Flamengo
Sunday, July 10 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-0 Corinthians (5-6 pen.)
Wednesday, July 6 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Fluminense 4-0 Corinthians
Saturday, July 2 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 0-0 Boca Juniors
Wednesday, June 29 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Corinthians 0-0 Santos
Saturday, June 25 at 11pm in Brasileiro
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