Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.
-0.01) 
0) 
