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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auckland FC win with a probability of 49.03%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auckland FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.43%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Auckland FC | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
49.03% ( 0.08) | 22.65% ( -0.03) | 28.32% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 62.75% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.35% ( 0.1) | 37.65% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.11% ( 0.11) | 59.89% ( -0.11) |
| Auckland FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.33% ( 0.07) | 15.67% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.28% ( 0.12) | 44.72% ( -0.12) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.41% ( 0.02) | 25.59% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.53% ( 0.03) | 60.47% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Auckland FC | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.89% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.84% Total : 49.03% | 1-1 @ 10.13% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.65% | 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.07% 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 28.32% |
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