SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Torino | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Napoli | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Juventus | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Bologna | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Monza | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Empoli | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 60.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 17.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Monza |
60.95% ( 0.5) | 21.59% ( -0.05) | 17.47% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 51.72% ( -0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.54% ( -0.53) | 45.46% ( 0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.21% ( -0.51) | 67.79% ( 0.51) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.56% ( -0.02) | 14.43% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.62% ( -0.03) | 42.37% ( 0.03) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.44% ( -0.84) | 39.56% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.75% ( -0.79) | 76.25% ( 0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Napoli | Draw | Monza |
| 1-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.23)2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 2.65% Total : 60.94% | 1-1 @ 10.25% 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.59% | 0-1 @ 5.3% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.07% Total : 17.47% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
