MX23RW : Saturday, September 10 12:34:51
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May 22, 2022 at 8pm UK at U-Power Stadium
Monza
2 - 1
Brescia
Mancuso (70'), D'Alessandro (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tramoni (7')
Huard (74')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pisa 3-4 Monza (0-0 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Monza 2-1 Brescia
Sunday, May 22 at 8pm in Serie B

We said: Monza 1-0 Brescia (Monza win 3-1 on aggregate)

Having had to overcome an extra-time epic shortly before the first leg, while Monza prepared in peace, Brescia were always likely to be up against it at Stadio Rigamonti. Their chance may now have passed, as Sunday's hosts are an ambitious outfit, driven to reach one final destination: Serie A. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.

Result
MonzaDrawBrescia
46.16% (2.466 2.47) 26.52% (-0.07 -0.07) 27.32% (-2.397 -2.4)
Both teams to score 49.21% (-1.247 -1.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.93% (-0.908 -0.91)55.07% (0.903 0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.67% (-0.753 -0.75)76.33% (0.75 0.75)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.18% (0.79600000000001 0.8)23.82% (-0.8 -0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.01% (1.133 1.13)57.99% (-1.137 -1.14)
Brescia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.6% (-2.338 -2.34)35.4% (2.334 2.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.84% (-2.507 -2.51)72.16% (2.503 2.5)
Score Analysis
    Monza 46.15%
    Brescia 27.32%
    Draw 26.52%
MonzaDrawBrescia
1-0 @ 12.09% (0.69 0.69)
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.162 0.16)
2-0 @ 8.68% (0.681 0.68)
3-1 @ 4.31% (0.175 0.18)
3-0 @ 4.15% (0.414 0.41)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.55% (0.097 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.49% (0.179 0.18)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 46.15%
1-1 @ 12.56% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.43% (0.292 0.29)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.218 -0.22)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.52%
0-1 @ 8.76% (-0.253 -0.25)
1-2 @ 6.52% (-0.465 -0.47)
0-2 @ 4.55% (-0.438 -0.44)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.187 -0.19)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.265 -0.27)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 27.32%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Brescia 1-2 Monza
Wednesday, May 18 at 7pm in Serie B
Last Game: Perugia 1-0 Monza
Friday, May 6 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Monza 3-0 Benevento
Saturday, April 30 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Frosinone 4-1 Monza
Monday, April 25 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Monza 1-1 Brescia
Monday, April 18 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cosenza 0-2 Monza
Sunday, April 10 at 2.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Brescia 1-2 Monza
Wednesday, May 18 at 7pm in Serie B
Last Game: Brescia 3-2 Perugia
Saturday, May 14 at 5pm in Serie B
Last Game: Brescia 3-0 Reggina
Friday, May 6 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cittadella 1-0 Brescia
Saturday, April 30 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Brescia 1-1 SPAL
Monday, April 25 at 5pm in Serie B
Last Game: Monza 1-1 Brescia
Monday, April 18 at 7.30pm in Serie B
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Serie B Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1RegginaReggina430110289
2FrosinoneFrosinone43017259
3Brescia43015419
4AscoliAscoli42206428
5Genoa52216518
6BeneventoBenevento42114227
7CagliariCagliari42114317
8Cosenza CalcioCosenza42114317
9Palermo521267-17
10BariBari41308626
11Parma41306516
12Cittadella41216605
13SPALSPAL412156-15
14VeneziaVenezia411246-24
15Ternana411247-34
16Modena41035503
17SudtirolSudtirol410339-63
18Como402236-32
19Pisa401369-31
20Perugia401327-51
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