Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 56.63%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 18.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
