Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Rostov win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Krasnodar in this match.
