Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Rostov win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
