SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for CSKA Moscow had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
39.92% ( 0.01) | 26.42% ( -0.01) | 33.66% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.46% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.73% ( 0.02) | 52.27% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.03% ( 0.01) | 73.97% ( -0.02) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.28% ( 0.01) | 25.71% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.36% ( 0.02) | 60.63% ( -0.02) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.62% ( 0) | 29.38% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.63% ( 0.01) | 65.37% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 10.26% 2-1 @ 8.53% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.97% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.39% Total : 39.92% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.7% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.67% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.14% 0-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.49% Total : 33.66% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 29 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 73 | 20 | 53 | 67 |
| 2 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 55 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 54 |
| 4 | RostovRostov | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 53 |
| 5 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 49 |
| 6 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 44 | 16 | 47 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 45 |
| 8 | OrenburgOrenburg | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 43 |
| 9 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 42 |
| 10 | Sochi | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 33 |
| 12 | Fakel | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 30 |
| 13 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 29 |
| 14 | Nizhny Novgorod | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 27 |
| 15 | KhimkiKhimki | 29 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 25 | 65 | -40 | 18 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 58 | -37 | 13 |
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