SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 52.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 22.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Krylia Sovetov win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
52.91% ( -0.31) | 24.18% ( 0.15) | 22.91% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 52.1% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.76% ( -0.46) | 49.24% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.7% ( -0.41) | 71.3% ( 0.42) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.44% ( -0.29) | 18.56% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.19% ( -0.49) | 49.81% ( 0.49) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.96% ( -0.11) | 36.03% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.19% ( -0.11) | 72.81% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
| 1-0 @ 11.26% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 9.49% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.25% Total : 52.91% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.17% | 0-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.87% Total : 22.91% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 29 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 73 | 20 | 53 | 67 |
| 2 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 55 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 54 |
| 4 | RostovRostov | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 53 |
| 5 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 49 |
| 6 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 44 | 16 | 47 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 45 |
| 8 | OrenburgOrenburg | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 43 |
| 9 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 42 |
| 10 | Sochi | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 33 |
| 12 | Fakel | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 30 |
| 13 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 29 |
| 14 | Nizhny Novgorod | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 27 |
| 15 | KhimkiKhimki | 29 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 25 | 65 | -40 | 18 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 58 | -37 | 13 |
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