SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Boavista win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Braga |
29.3% ( -0.22) | 25.95% ( -0.02) | 44.74% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 52.2% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.19% ( -0.04) | 51.8% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.43% ( -0.03) | 73.57% ( 0.03) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.86% ( -0.18) | 32.14% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.38% ( -0.2) | 68.62% ( 0.2) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.92% ( 0.09) | 23.08% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.09% ( 0.14) | 56.91% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.7% Total : 29.3% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.05% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.97% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.42% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.51% 1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 44.74% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 34 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 82 | 20 | 62 | 87 |
| 2 | Porto | 34 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 73 | 22 | 51 | 85 |
| 3 | Braga | 34 | 25 | 3 | 6 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 78 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 71 | 32 | 39 | 74 |
| 5 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 54 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 53 |
| 7 | ChavesChaves | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 46 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 44 |
| 9 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 44 |
| 10 | Casa Pia | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 41 |
| 11 | Vizela | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 40 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 37 |
| 14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 35 |
| 15 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 34 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 32 | 63 | -31 | 26 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 26 | 62 | -36 | 23 |
| R | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 26 | 58 | -32 | 22 |
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