SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Lens | 38 | 14 | 62 |
| 8 | Lyon | 38 | 15 | 61 |
| 9 | Nantes | 38 | 7 | 55 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Nice | 38 | 16 | 67 |
| 5 | Rennes | 38 | 42 | 66 |
| 6 | Strasbourg | 38 | 17 | 63 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 52.68%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Rennes had a probability of 23.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Rennes win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Rennes |
| 52.68% | 24.14% | 23.18% |
| Both teams to score 52.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.19% | 48.81% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.09% | 70.91% |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.51% | 18.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.31% | 49.69% |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.46% | 35.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.69% | 72.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Rennes |
| 1-0 @ 11.09% 2-1 @ 9.69% 2-0 @ 9.36% 3-1 @ 5.45% 3-0 @ 5.27% 3-2 @ 2.82% 4-1 @ 2.3% 4-0 @ 2.22% 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.29% Total : 52.68% | 1-1 @ 11.47% 0-0 @ 6.57% 2-2 @ 5.01% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.13% | 0-1 @ 6.8% 1-2 @ 5.94% 0-2 @ 3.52% 1-3 @ 2.05% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.95% Total : 23.18% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 30 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 70 | 29 | 41 | 69 |
| 2 | Lens | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 50 | 22 | 28 | 63 |
| 3 | Marseille | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 60 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 63 | 42 | 21 | 58 |
| 5 | Lille | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 38 | 16 | 52 |
| 6 | Rennes | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 48 | 33 | 15 | 50 |
| 7 | Lyon | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 33 | 14 | 47 |
| 8 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 14 | 5 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 47 |
| 9 | Nice | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 45 |
| 10 | Lorient | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 44 |
| 11 | Clermont | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 38 |
| 13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 30 | 11 | 4 | 15 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 37 |
| 14 | NantesNantes | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 31 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 27 | 51 | -24 | 29 |
| 16 | Brest | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 28 |
| 17 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 26 |
| 18 | Troyes | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 38 | 64 | -26 | 21 |
| 19 | Ajaccio | 30 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 21 | 55 | -34 | 21 |
| 20 | Angers | 30 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 23 | 64 | -41 | 14 |
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