Their defensive shape last week was not what we have been used to seeing from ESTAC since Irles took over, so we expect them to be a lot more compact this weekend, although we do not anticipate that they will be able to find a way through an underrated defence.
Rennes could see plenty of tight marking in this match, but they have shown to be quite potent on their home soil, scoring eight goals in their last two games, while conceding none.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 78.2%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 7.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.78%) and 3-0 (11.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.96%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
