Neither Angers or Troyes will be able to name their strongest starting lineups on Saturday, meaning that we could see a more even contest played out at the Stade Jean-Bouin. With little to separate the two teams, a score draw could be on the cards.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Troyes win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Angers would win this match.
