While Lyon have been far from their best for large sections of the season, and come in with a badly hit squad, they still boast plenty of quality and meet an out-of-sorts Montpellier side.
We ultimately see Bosz's men returning to winning ways with home advantage and the need for a near-perfect end to the season to stand any chance of a high finish.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 76.19%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 9.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (2.78%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
