Whilst Rennes' loss-win-loss-win-loss-win run of form implies that they are due another defeat this time out, we are backing them to break that sequence. They have the slightly better team on paper but Montpellier have home advantage and the momentum of their win at the weekend so we are banking on a 1-1 draw on this occasion.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 49.78%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
