SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 30 | 73 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | 22 | 71 |
| 4 | Sevilla | 38 | 23 | 70 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | 22 | 71 |
| 4 | Sevilla | 38 | 23 | 70 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 38 | 22 | 65 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 22.44%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Sevilla |
51.47% ( -0.08) | 26.08% ( 0.04) | 22.44% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 46.03% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.04% ( -0.12) | 56.96% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.14% ( -0.1) | 77.86% ( 0.09) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.78% ( -0.09) | 22.22% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.36% ( -0.13) | 55.63% ( 0.13) |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.18% ( -0.03) | 40.82% ( 0.03) |
