Cadiz are in desperate need of the points as they bid to remain in the league, but Sevilla also need to win to boost their top-four hopes, and we are finding it very difficult to predict anything other than a victory for Lopetegui's side, who have been excellent at home this season.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 66.23%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 13.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.62%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
