SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 | Elche | 38 | -12 | 42 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 38 | -13 | 42 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 30 | 73 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | 22 | 71 |
| 4 | Sevilla | 38 | 23 | 70 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Elche had a probability of 25.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (9%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
25.73% ( -0.22) | 25.72% ( -0.08) | 48.55% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 50.34% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.01% ( 0.15) | 52.99% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.41% ( 0.13) | 74.59% ( -0.13) |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.41% ( -0.11) | 35.59% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.64% ( -0.11) | 72.36% ( 0.1) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.16% ( 0.19) | 21.84% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.93% ( 0.3) | 55.07% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elche | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.98% Total : 25.73% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0)Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 11.82% 1-2 @ 9.29% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 9% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.71% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 4.56% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 48.55% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 33 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 60 | 11 | 49 | 82 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 70 | 32 | 38 | 71 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 69 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 31 | 14 | 62 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 52 | 35 | 17 | 57 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 52 |
| 7 | GironaGirona | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 48 | 6 | 48 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44 | 38 | 6 | 47 |
| 9 | Osasuna | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 47 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 46 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 41 | 49 | -8 | 44 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 44 |
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 39 |
| 14 | Valencia | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 37 |
| 15 | Almeria | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 43 | 61 | -18 | 36 |
| 16 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 35 |
| 17 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 30 | 57 | -27 | 35 |
| 18 | Getafe | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 34 |
| 19 | Espanyol | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 31 |
| R | ElcheElche | 33 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 25 | 64 | -39 | 16 |
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