Real Madrid have been victorious on their last two league visits to Estadio Ramon, but Sevilla have not lost a single home La Liga fixture this term, and we are finding it difficult to back Los Blancos with any serious confidence despite their position at the summit, ultimately settling on a low-scoring draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
