SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shonan Bellmare | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
46.95% ( -2.05) | 25.28% ( 0.17) | 27.78% ( 1.88) |
| Both teams to score 53.34% ( 0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.14% ( 0.56) | 49.86% ( -0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.15% ( 0.5) | 71.85% ( -0.5) |
| Shonan Bellmare Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.75% ( -0.66) | 21.25% ( 0.66) |
