SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shonan Bellmare | Draw | Albirex Niigata |
34.1% ( -0.52) | 26.71% ( -0.12) | 39.19% ( 0.63) |
| Both teams to score 51.62% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.61% ( 0.4) | 53.38% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.08% ( 0.33) | 74.92% ( -0.34) |
| Shonan Bellmare Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.35% ( -0.13) | 29.65% ( 0.13) |
