SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shonan Bellmare | Draw | Cerezo Osaka |
32.89% ( -0.12) | 27.84% ( 0.09) | 39.27% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 47.93% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.07% ( -0.34) | 57.93% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.37% ( -0.27) | 78.63% ( 0.27) |
| Shonan Bellmare Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.25% ( -0.25) | 32.75% ( 0.26) |
