Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 60.03%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 15.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.71%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Shonan Bellmare win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
