Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 50.38%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 23.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.76%) and 1-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 1-0 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
