SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 48.21%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.67%) and 1-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 1-0 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sagan Tosu | Draw | Kashima Antlers |
24.6% ( -0.75) | 27.19% ( 0.09) | 48.21% ( 0.66) |
| Both teams to score 45.23% ( -0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
