J1 League | Gameweek 12
May 7, 2023 at 7am UK
Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium
Kawasaki
1 - 0
Sagan Tosu
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tashiro (90+4')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kawasaki Frontale and Sagan Tosu.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 67.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 13.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.
| Result |
| Kawasaki Frontale | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
67.24% ( 0.08) | 19.21% ( -0.03) | 13.54% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 50.27% ( -0.07) |
| 57.37% ( -0.01) | 42.62% ( 0) |
| 34.97% ( -0) | 65.03% ( 0) |
| 88.27% ( 0.02) | 11.72% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.14% ( 0.05) | 36.85% ( -0.05) |
| 56.95% ( -0.09) | 43.05% ( 0.09) |
