Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 58.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 18.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 1-0 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
