Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
