Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
