Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 36.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
