With only little margin for error in the title race, PSV cannot afford to slip up this weekend against a more than capable Utrecht side. We expect an open and entertaining affair with the away side narrowly edging out their hosts to secure all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 56.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 21.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.88%) and 0-2 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 2-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
